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Hope you all had a nice Halloween, it is nice to see warmer temperatures and no snow for the little ones.
As for the market, October has continued the inventory decline. The sales in October did dip (1203 sales), although that is consistent with previous Octobers. If you look at the stats from the month of October back to 2004, then you will see most months result in 1200-1300 sales (the only exception being the overheated market of 2006). So, overall we are seeing very consistent results with continued strong stable demand.
The one change has been the inventory decline, as you can see from the graph it is not nearly as steep as previous months. We may not see the 5000-6000 inventory level at the end of the year if this pattern continues. 7000 may be a more realistic prediction.
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The market continues to strengthen on both the supply and demand side. The supply of homes is now sitting at 8630 homes for sale in the Edmonton area. Down from 9612 last month. On the demand side, the number of sales have bounced up to 1719 from 1541 in August. We are now in a market with a 5 month supply of inventory. Technically we are now in a balanced market.
Predictions? As I mentioned in August's wrapup, I think we will drop into the 6000 or less inventory range by the end of December. That should set us up for a strong spring market in 2009 where we could start to see price increases.
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"Widely seen as a future driver of the global economy,
oil sands development sits front and centre on the global stage. This year's Oil Sands
Trade Show & Conference launches at a significant time for oil sands and heavy oil
professionals as they assemble in Edmonton to explore innovative ways to
drive environmentally sustainable energy," said Wes Scott, Event Director, dmg
world media.
Exhibition Hours:
Tuesday, September 23: 10:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.
Wednesday, September 24: 10:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m.
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When the price and market is right the buyers will come. To investors who do their research it has always been clear that the Edmonton market is not unstable and prices aren't plummeting merely stabilizing. With so many listings on the market the pickings are plentiful and the prices are right.
"I've been run off my feet," "July was ridiculously busy and August has been ridiculously busy, and when it shows in the numbers, it's not just me.
"The stats show buyers are confident with the Edmonton economy. It's a large selection to pick from right now, and I think they don't foresee a drastic dropping of prices, so they want to get into the marketplace and buy.
"By the time we get through to next spring, we're going to have a far more reasonable listing inventory and we're going to have a far more balanced marketplace," Marc Perras, president of the Realtors Association of Edmonton
The investment deals we are getting are fantastic. Terms are more flexible and when you satisfiy your sellers need they are more likely to meet you half way.
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